Research Archive

April 1, 2026 / Max Weinbach

All About Agents: Cheap Tokens, Local Models, and Product Fit

Over the past year or so we’ve heard a lot about agents. Most of it hasn’t really happened, things have changed quickly, it’s hard to pinpoint and trends tend to be near impossible to predict because something you think may be successful ends up becoming irrelevant in three months. If you take a step back…

March 26, 2026 / Ben Bajarin

TSMC COUPE: Why the CoWoS Pattern Is Repeating in Silicon Photonics

While we understand why, much of the current narrative around the optical market is spent debating when co-packaged optics scales and which active optics vendors benefit first. We think the more important question is who controls the manufacturing platform that the transition depends on. That distinction matters because the connectivity stack is already moving from…

March 25, 2026 / Ben Bajarin

Arm’s Move Into Merchant Silicon Is About Escaping the Revenue Ceiling

For those of us who have covered Arm for decades, we remember the days when this was a $500-600M yearly revenue company, and hardly growing. How times have changed. The evolution of Arm, now clearly framed as Arm 2.0, has been years in the making, with all the stakeholders recognizing that an IP business alone…

March 25, 2026 / Carolina Milanesi

HP IQ: The Right Instinct, With a Long Road Ahead

The AI PC category has a credibility problem. Two years into the NPU era, most on-device AI still feels like a solution searching for a problem. The hardware arrived before the software had anything meaningful to say, and Microsoft’s Copilot rollout did little to change that narrative. Rather than building a coherent ecosystem experience, Microsoft…

March 25, 2026 / Max Weinbach

Intel Pro Day 2026: Intel’s Commercial AI PC Push

The next phase of the AI PC market will be won less by raw AI specifications and more by enterprise usefulness. Intel is repositioning the commercial PC as a managed, secure, on-device AI endpoint that can execute work, observe itself, and improve user experience without sending every workflow back to the cloud. What stands out…

March 24, 2026 / Ben Bajarin

Secret Agent CPU

The Thesis in 60 Seconds We believe the shift from monolithic LLM inference to multi-step agentic workflows structurally changes the compute mix inside datacenters. Training-era architectures assumed GPUs would dominate every phase of inference. Agentic workloads have challenged that assumption. When an agent calls a tool, queries a database, waits for human approval, or orchestrates…

Trusted by 80% of the top 10 Fortune 500 technology companies