Research Archive

December 8, 2025 / Ben Bajarin

The Semiconductor Gigacycle

The semiconductor industry has experienced cycles of varying magnitude throughout its history. The PC era brought sustained growth. The smartphone revolution created what many called a supercycle. The cloud computing buildout extended that expansion further. What is happening now is something categorically different. The artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout represents the largest total addressable market expansion…

November 20, 2025 / Ben Bajarin

The Snapdragon X2 Elite Power Paradigm: Unbundling the Electron

In mobile computing, performance is defined by the energy cost of operations. The limiting factors for modern Systems on a Chip (SoC) are thermal headroom and battery constraints, shifting the architectural focus to the infrastructure that feeds the silicon. The power delivery network (PDN) design for the Snapdragon X Series utilizes a bifurcated, two-stage Point-of-Load…

November 20, 2025 / Ben Bajarin

CoreWeave and the Integration of AI Infrastructure

In the broader narrative of the AI boom, a new category of infrastructure provider has emerged, colloquially termed the “neocloud.” The economic logic of the neocloud is, at first glance, simple arbitrage: the hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) are supply-constrained and expensive, creating an opening for smaller, agile players to buy GPUs, place them in…

November 18, 2025 / Max Weinbach

Google’s new Gemini 3 Pro is a great model

Today, Google announced Gemini 3 as well as a bunch of new product updates powered by Gemini 3 Pro! We’ll get into those in a moment, because I want to talk about my experience using Gemini 3 Pro, codename riftrunner, as well as Google’s new developer IDE called Antigravity! I got early access from Google…

November 12, 2025 / Ben Bajarin

From Bitcoin to AI: The Hard Road Ahead, and Why Some Miners Can Still Make the Jump

The surge in AI infrastructure investment has reshaped the value of power in the United States. Bitcoin miners, who once optimized purely for cheap electricity and fast deployment, now find themselves in possession of something that AI operators urgently need: energized land with existing interconnection rights. On the surface, this creates the impression that miners…

October 27, 2025 / Ben Bajarin

Bubble or Buildout? A Guide for the Next Data Center Era

The easy story is “this looks bubbly.” Spending is massive AND front-loaded, the narrative is high, and a handful of winners dominate the landscape. Hyperscaler capital spending is tracking to roughly $424B in 2025 and stepping toward ~$500B in 2026, after topping $100B in a single quarter earlier this year—numbers that rhyme with past build-outs…

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