Research Archive
Anthropic and the Intelligence Utility Thesis
Anthropic just raised $30 billion at a $380 billion valuation and that got most of the headlines, though the more telling figure is the $14 billion current annualized revenue run-rate, achieved less than three years after the company booked its first dollar. Salesforce required 16 years to reach $14 billion in annual revenue. Anthropic has…
Who is Safe in SaaS? The Lens Via our Data Moat Scorecard
There is a physical infrastructure dimension to the AI and software story that the market-level debate entirely overlooks. In conversations we had with Michael Dell, and other Dell executives last summer, a thesis emerged that we believe will reshape how enterprises interact with software over the next three to five years. Michael Dell’s perspective is…
Memory’s $200B Inflection
The memory semiconductor industry went from roughly $85–90 billion in revenue at its 2023 trough to a trajectory that reaches $800–850 billion by 2027. That is roughly a 9× increase in four years. No segment of the semiconductor industry has ever grown this fast at this scale. The numbers forecasted, at approximately $550–570 billion in…
The AWS Acceleration Thesis: Why Amazon’s Cloud Business May Be Entering Its Most Consequential Growth Phase
The market’s reaction to Amazon’s Q4 results tells you everything about where sentiment sits today. The stock is down roughly 20% from its pre-earnings level near $239, having dropped 8% on the earnings release alone despite AWS posting its fastest growth in 13 quarters. The $200 billion capex guide, which came in $55 billion above…
The AI Infrastructure Buildout: A Comprehensive Framework for the Datacenter and Power Cycle
We are in the early stages of one of the largest infrastructure buildouts in modern history. The construction of AI-scale computing infrastructure is reshaping the datacenter, power generation, and labor markets simultaneously and there is no sign demand is slowing. This is reflected in signed leases, committed capital expenditure, and operational facilities that are only…
Think Global, Build Local: Cisco’s Sovereignty-First Strategy Takes Center Stage at Cisco Live EMEA
While I could start with the list of the many products that were announced at Cisco Live EMEA 2026, and there were plenty, from the Silicon One G300 to the biggest-ever update to AI Defense, I want to focus my analysis around a very interesting slide that was shared in one of the many analyst…